This number contains some interesting changes. The overall form is 16+16, where the first 8 bars of each 16 are identical (ABAC structure).
At the start it immediately modulates to bVI, a key 4 flats flatter than the tonic, using a pivot on the 5th in the original key (leading note of bVI), then returns to the tonic.
It does a 2-5-1 to the subdominant. In the first 16 the cadence is interrupted, and it leads to the minor subdominant, which is then used as ii of bIII. In the 2nd 16 the 2-5-1 to the subdominant behaves normally.
| Pivot on 5th (3rd of bIII) 5-1 Mod to bVI | b11M to ii | ||||||
| I | bIIIx | bVIM | bIIM | ||||
| 2-5-1 | 251 Mod to IV | ||||||
| ii | V | I |
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| interrupt with ivm instead of IV | Mod to bIII | bVIM to ii | |||||
| ivm | bVIIx | bIIIM | bVIM | ||||
| 2-5-1 | turnaround | ||||||
| ii | V |
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| Repeat | |||||||
| circle of 4ths via IIx | |||||||
| IV |
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IIx | ||||
| ii | V | I | I | ||||